Florida Democrats are pushing for a constitutional amendment that would put medical marijuana on the state's ballot this November. If the initiative passes, Florida would become the first southern state to legalize some form of marijuana usage. Recent Battleground polls have shown widespread support, especially among young voters.
In a previous MPP blog post, we discussed how about 70% of voters (nationwide) would be more likely to vote this fall if marijuana was on the ballot, and how midterm elections traditionally have lower voter turnout, especially with young voters and liberals. In the 2012 elections, Washington and Colorado both saw significant spikes in voter turnout, possibly due to marijuana being on the ballot. If Florida follows suit, it will be a testament to marijuana's spillover effect.
Florida Democrats are hoping it "could have a marginal impact," which doesn't sound like much, but "a marginal impact in Florida could be the difference between winning and losing," according to Steve Schale, a Democratic consultant who managed Obama's Florida campaign in 2008.
A recent Republican victory in a special House election last month typified the Democrats' turnout problem. The St. Petersburg-area district has 2.4 percent more registered Republicans than Democrats, but GOP voters outnumbered Democrats by eight percentage points, according to election results.